Scarlet Fever Outbreak, Hong Kong, 2011
نویسندگان
چکیده
Monthly scarlet fever notifications in Guangdong and Macau were cumulated from December 2010 to December 2011 and then smoothed using cubic spline assuming time points at 15th of each month. Weekly cumulative notifications was estimated by interpolation based on the spline function, which was then differenced to obtain weekly estimated number of notifications from week starting January 16, 2011, to week starting December 19, 2011. Crosscorrelations were then calculated between estimated weekly number of notifications in Guangdong and Macau versus actual weekly notifications in Hong Kong. Maximum correlation among estimated weekly Guangdong and Macau scarlet fever notifications with different lags versus notifications in Hong Kong were identified.
منابع مشابه
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عنوان ژورنال:
دوره 18 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2012